Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014126 0.016426 0.018966 0.021978 0.025449 0.029322 0.033971
2026-01-04 0.010978 0.014023 0.017695 0.022442 0.028409 0.035652 0.045104
2026-01-11 0.008406 0.011652 0.015877 0.021763 0.029732 0.040125 0.054690
2026-01-18 0.006755 0.010063 0.014670 0.021520 0.031414 0.045148 0.065613
2026-01-25 0.005453 0.008669 0.013425 0.020926 0.032401 0.049234 0.075718
2026-02-01 0.004513 0.007611 0.012452 0.020499 0.033468 0.053455 0.086468
2026-02-08 0.003822 0.006806 0.011706 0.020256 0.034702 0.057987 0.098171
2026-02-15 0.003220 0.006033 0.010874 0.019712 0.035313 0.061526 0.108637
2026-02-22 0.002937 0.005765 0.010843 0.020497 0.038229 0.069158 0.126805
2026-03-01 0.002583 0.005300 0.010385 0.020440 0.039621 0.074293 0.141200
2026-03-08 0.002198 0.004711 0.009604 0.019655 0.039546 0.076762 0.151016
2026-03-15 0.001940 0.004331 0.009167 0.019458 0.040535 0.081256 0.165071
2026-03-22 0.001833 0.004257 0.009337 0.020523 0.044194 0.091345 0.191300
2026-03-29 0.001687 0.004074 0.009255 0.021057 0.046847 0.099786 0.215307
2026-04-05 0.001469 0.003690 0.008689 0.020468 0.047060 0.103318 0.229707
2026-04-12 0.001309 0.003415 0.008322 0.020264 0.048070 0.108608 0.248415
2026-04-19 0.001148 0.003109 0.007836 0.019715 0.048228 0.112077 0.263567
2026-04-26 0.001017 0.002858 0.007441 0.019319 0.048677 0.116220 0.280680
2026-05-03 0.000912 0.002656 0.007134 0.019092 0.049491 0.121261 0.300398
2026-05-10 0.000807 0.002431 0.006738 0.018580 0.049532 0.124505 0.316264
2026-05-17 0.000769 0.002393 0.006821 0.019322 0.052821 0.135838 0.352852
2026-05-24 0.000702 0.002255 0.006617 0.019269 0.054050 0.142289 0.378164
2026-05-31 0.000616 0.002046 0.006184 0.018528 0.053362 0.143882 0.391439